The fantasy football trade analyzer offers players to trade for and others to trade away every week. We have to (politely) claw and scratch our way into our opponents’ hearts so we can unload guys we no longer need and pry away talent that’s ready to pop. Here are some more players to target and sell as we pass the first quarter of the 2021 fantasy season.
Which players are worth trading for this week?
Tony Pollard, RB, Dallas Cowboys
Yesterday, one of my league opponents offered me Pollard for Mike Davis. I declined because he and I are going head-to-head in Week 7 when Pollard’s on a bye. Yeah, my opponent’s pretty savvy like that. So I explained the situation (be transparent in negotiations whenever possible) and said I’d do it for a small upgrade elsewhere. Tampa Bay’s defense was my consolation, which is a nice consolation given their upside this season.
Ah, but I digress. The point is, Pollard has been a prized fantasy asset for three years. As Ezekiel Elliott’s trusted handcuff, Pollard has proven to be a consistent RB1/2 when starting, and this year he’s displayed stand-alone RB3/4 value. With the latest news that Elliott is experiencing “knee discomfort,” the yellow flag is waving.
RB handcuffs are harder to roster and retain if you have a small bench, particularly with bye weeks in the NFL approaching. But if you can afford to stash Pollard, he’ll reward you with high-impact production if he earns some starts.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers D/ST
As alluded to above, D/STs are great ways to close small gaps during trade negotiations. I’m also looking out for underperforming D/STs that could net top-five production in the second half of the season. The good news is you don’t have to pay much for Tampa Bay — yet. That could change after this week’s home tilt against the undermanned Dolphins.
Speaking of undermanned, the Bucs’ defensive struggles can be blamed partly on injuries to their secondary. Last week’s Richard Sherman signing helps. But let’s face it — this team isn’t the same with guys like Carlton Davis, Jamel Dean, Sean Murphy-Bunting, and Jason Pierre-Paul on the shelf. At full strength, they’ll be fine. And they’ll gradually return to fuller strength in the coming weeks.
However, it’s not just injuries. Two of Tampa Bay’s first three games were against two of the NFL’s three best passing attacks (the Cowboys and Rams). Two of their next three are against two of the NFL’s four worst passing attacks (the Dolphins and Bears). Additionally, they get a Week 17 matchup against the Jets. If you’re playing for the title that week, is there any other D/ST you’d rather have?
Some players lose their value as the season progresses. Here are two players you should try to sell high on.
Mike Davis, RB, Atlanta Falcons
You knew I was going to write about Mike Davis. Every season, there are players whose fantasy production masks their true risk. Davis is barely hanging on to being a starter in fantasy. Cordarrelle Patterson is easily the team’s MVP thus far. Eventually, Calvin Ridley and Kyle Pitts will rebound.
Meanwhile, Davis is slogging along at 3.1 yards per carry, well below his subpar 3.6 career average. Receptions are barely keeping him viable. As with Todd Gurley last year, Davis’ fantasy numbers don’t tell the whole story. I sold him as high as I could. Don’t wait too long to sell him, too.
DJ Moore, WR, Carolina Panthers
Moore’s dominance aligns with Sam Darnold’s dominance and indirectly results from Christian McCaffrey’s injury. In other words, it’s not sustainable. Carolina’s fantasy playoff schedule is brutal, and Darnold will regress. When McCaffrey returns, there will be more focus on the run, as it should be when you have one of the NFL’s best running backs.
Moore probably will end up in the top 12-18 range. There’s nothing wrong with that. But that means he’ll likely be a WR2 most weeks going forward. He’s currently the No. 4 fantasy WR. If you can sell him as a top-eight WR, you’re getting value based on likely future performance.
And that’s the key, folks — “likely future performance.” We trade based on current value, and what we think they’ll do going forward. When we time it right, good things happen.